NCAA Top 25 Picks

UPDATE WEEK 9:  11-7, making us 25-15 over the last 2 weeks. Scroll to the bottom for our week 10 picks!

UPDATE: Week 8 of College football was ourt best yet, going 14-8!  Scroll to the bottom for our week 9 picks

Starting this week, we will publish our College Football top 25 games and the lines, and who we pick.  Our picks are in emboldened, and for those unfamiliar with gambling, ATS means “against the spread”.  And some top 25 games may not be available as they are “off” the board and do not have lines.  Here’s hoping we catch fire and open our own Casino.

Troy @ (1) Florida -36 1/2

Wyoming @ (2) Texas -32

(3) USC -7 @ (7) Ohio State (SC is 10-1 ATS in their last 11 vs. the Big 10)

Florida International @ (4) Alabama -33 1/2

Syracuse + 28 1/2 @ (5) Penn State (PSU is 1-7 ATS in last 8 vs. Big East)

Houston @ (6) Oklahoma State – 15 1/2 (Hou is 1-7 ATS in last 8 road games)

Vanderbilt + 14 1/2 @ (9) LSU (LSU is 1-7 ATS in their last 8)

Eastern Michigan @ (10) Cal -32 1/2

Miami (Ohio) @ (11)Boise St. -37 (BSU is 41-17-2 ATS in their last 60 home games)

(12) BYU – 18 1/2@ Tulane

Idaho State + 49 1/2 @ (14) Oklahoma

Marshall @ (15) Virginia Tech -19 (Marshall is ATS 17-38-2 in heir last 57 road games)

(16)TCU -11 @ Virginia (TCU 12-5 in their last 17 ATS overall)

(17) UTAH -13.5@ San Jose State (UUT 8-3 ATS in their last 11 road games)

Arkansas State @ (18) Nebraska -21 (ASU is 1-7 ATS in their last 8 overall

(19) North Carolina -4.5 @ Connecticut

(20) Notre Dame -3 @ Michigan (ND is 7-3 ATS n their last 10 road games and Head to Head)

South Carolina @ (21) Georgia -7

SE Missouri State + 48 @ (23) Cincinnatti

(24) Oregon State -7 @ UNLV (OSU is 16-5 ATS in their last 21 overall)

(25) Kansas -13 @ UTEP (KU is 22-7 ATS in their last 29 overall)

UPDATE: Week 2 was not so kind to me, however I did hit all 4 of our locks. Let’s hope week 3 brings better luck.

(7) Cal -14 @ Minnesota (Cal is 10-1 in heir last 1 games on turf)
Temple + 29.5 @ (5) Penn State (Temple is 9-4-1 in their last 14 ATS)
East Carolina @ (19) North Carolina -7.5 (EC is 1-8 in their last 9 ATS)
Duke @ (23) Kansas -24 (UK is 12-4 in their last 16 home games ATS)
(11) Ohios State -21 @ Toledo
North Texas @ (4) Alabama -39.5
Tennessee @ (1) Florida – 29.5 LOCK (UF is 12-1 ATS in their last 13 conference games)
(3) USC -19 @ Washington (Washington is 10-28 ATS in their last 38 on turf)
(16) Utah + 5 @ Oregon (Utah is 7-2 ATS in their last 9 on turf)
(18) Nebraska @ (14) Virginia Tech -5 LOCK
Tulsa @ (12) Oklahoma -18 (OK 7-2 ATS in their last 9 games overall)
(21) Cincinnati + 1 @ (24) Oregon State
Rice @ (17) Oklahoma State -33.5 LOCK (OSU is 7-3 in their last 10 home games ATS)
Florida State @ (9) BYU -8 LOCK
UL Lafayette +27 @ (7) LSU (ULAF is 9-3 ATS in their last 12 overall)
(20) Georgia -2.5 @ Arkansas
Texas Tech @ (2) Texas -18

WEEK 4

.500 seems to be the staple.  We need to turn up the accuracy this week, or this feature will be going bye bye (if our ego will let us take it away)

South Florida @(25) Florida State -14(SoFLA is 2-9 ATS vs team with winning record)

(18) North Carolina @ Georgia Tech -3

Indiana @ (22) Michigan -20(Ind is 4-9-1 in their last 14 ATS overall)

Fresno State @(15) Cincinnati-17(Cin is 7-3 ATS in their last 10 overall)

(7) LSU -12 Lock @ Mississippi State (LSU is 10-2 ATS in last 12 vs MSU)

Southern Miss @ (19) Kansas -13(UK is 14-3 ATS in their last 17 on turf)

(6)Cal -5.5@Oregon (Cal is 10-1 ATS in last 11 on turf)

(14) TCU +2.5 @Clemson (TCU is 13-6 ATS in last 19 overall)

UTEP @ (2) Texas -36.5 (UTEP is 2-8 ATS in last 10 vs. Big 12)

(13) Miami -3 @(12) Virginia Tech (Miami is 7-2 ATS in last 9 road games)

Colorado State @ (20) BYU -17

Arkansas @ (3) Alabama-17.5 LOCK (Bama is 7-3 ATS in their last 10 overall)

(1) Florida -21.5 @ Kentucky (FLA is 7-1 ATS in their last 8 conference games)

(8) Boise State -16.5@ Bowling Green (Bgren is 3-14 in their last 17 ATS)

Illinois @ (11) Ohio State -14

UL Lafayette +29@ (24) Nebraska (ULLAF is 9-4 ATS in their last 13 overall)

Arizona State @(17) Georgia -12

Texas Tech @ (23) Houston

Iowa +9.5@ (4) Penn State (Iowa is 7-1 ATS in last 8 road and grass games)

Washington State + 46 @ (10) USC

UPDATE

10-10 again last week, and 1-1 on locks.  College football is truly a crapshoot .  The fact that we are doing so well in the NFL allows us to continue to prognisticate.  As long as we don’t end up losing, I guess its okay.  Here is week 5.

Utah State @ (21) BYU -23.5

(20) Michigan -3 @ Michigan State

(6)Virginia Tech -17 LOCK @ Duke (VaTech is 19-7 in their last 26 road games ATS)

Arkansas State @ (17) Iowa -21.5

(3) Alabama -16 LOCK @ Kentucky (Ala is 8-3 ATS in their last 11 overall)

(11) Cincinnati -29 @ Miami of Ohio (MiaOh is 1-8 ATS in their last 9 home games)

(13) Penn State -7 LOCK @ Illinois

(18) Mississippi -10 @ Vanderbilt (Miss is 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games overall)

(4) LSU -3.5 @ (14) Georgia (Geo is 1-7 ATS in their last 8 home games)

(7) USC -4.5 LOCK @ (19) California

(9) Ohio State -17.5 @ Indiana (Ohio State is 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games overall)

Washington State +35 @ (25) Oregon (Wash St is 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games overall)

SMU @ (10) TCU -28 (TCU is 14-6 in their last 20 games overall)

(15) Houston -15 @ UTEP (Utep is 2-6 in their last 8 ATS vs. a team with a winning record)

(8) Oklahoma -7.5@ (21) Miami (OK is 8-2 in their last 10 games ATS overall

UPDATE

OUCH!  The worst week we have had in NFL or NCAA. We went 7-8, so we’re not getting clobbered, but the trend in college is that the favored teams with the big spreads aren’t covering, except for Alabama.  We’ll keep that in mind as we head into week 6.  Some top 25 games are not available as they do not have lines.

(19) Auburn -3 @ Arkansas (Auburn is 4-1 ATS this year)

Boston College + 13.5 @ (5) Virginia Tech (BC is 8-3 ATS in their last 11 meetings)

(13) Oklahoma State -5.5@ Texas A & M

(17) Oregon -4 LOCK @ UCLA (OR is 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games overall)

Iowa State @ (15) Kansas -19 (Kansas is 8-2 in their last 10 ATS overall)

(3) Alabama -4.5 LOCK @ (16) Mississippi

(25) Wisconsin +15.5 @ (8) Ohio State (Road Dog is 7-2 ATS in their last 9 games)

Baylor @ (21) Oklahoma -28 (OK is 6-2 in their last 8 games on grass ATS)

(9) TCU -10.5 @ Air Force (TCU is 14-6 in their last 20 games on grass ATS)

Colorado @ (2) Texas -32.5 LOCK (Texas is 20-7 in their last 27 vs. a team with a losing record ATS)

(1) Florida +8 @ (4) LSU (Fla is 17-4 in their last 21 vs. a team with a winning record ATS)

Michigan @ (14) Iowa -8 (Iowa is 37-17 ATS in their last 54 home games)

(20) BYU @ UNLV +17 (BYU is 4-9 in their last 13 games ATS overall)

(23) Georgia Tech + 3 LOCK @ Florida State (GT is 7-2 in their last 9 road games ATS)

UPDATE

OUCH!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!  Far and away our worst performance  of the year, taking us under .500.  We’r still doing great on the NFL.  We are foregoing the ATS, and picking based on knowledge.  Lets see what happens.

Arkansas @ (1) Florida -24.5

(7) Ohio State -13.5 @ Purdue

(18) Oklahoma @ (2) Texas -3.5

(5) USC -10 LOCK @ (25) Notre Dame

(12) Iowa -2.5 @ Wisconsin

(23) Houston -17 @ Tulane

Texas Tech @ (17) Nebraska -10.5

Minnesota @ (13) Penn State -17.5

Colorado State @ (8) TCU -22

(19) BYU -17 @ San Diego State

(15) Kansas -9.5 LOCK @ Colorado

(4) Virginia Tech -3 @ (20) Georgia Tech

(11) Miami -14 LOCK @ Central Florida

(22) South Carolina @ (3) Alabama -18 LOCK

(24) Missouri @ (14) Oklahoma State -7

UPDATE:  A decent start to the season has been spoiled by some bad luck the last 3 weeks.  Wobbling, weaving, it’s not looking good.

Minnesota @ (17) Ohio State -17

(23) South Florida + 6.5 @ (19) Pittsburgh

(13) Georgia Tech -5.5 LOCK @ Virginia (GTECH is 8-2 ATS in their last 10 road games)

UCONN -7.5 @ (22) West Virginia

Arkansas @ (25) Mississippi +6.5

(12) Oklahoma State -9.5 @ Baylor (OK State is 8-2 ATS in their last 10 meetings head to head)

Tennessee @ (2) Alabama -14.5 LOCK (Bama is 7-2 ATS in their last 9 conference games)

(11) Penn State -4.5 @ Michigan (Mich is 2-8 ATS in their last 10 conference games)

(14) Oregon -10 @ Washington (WU is 4-13 ATS in their last 17 games overall)

Louisville @ (6) Cincinnati -18 (Louisville is 2-8 ATS in thier last 10 games overall)

Clemson @ (9) Miami -5

Oklahoma +8 @ (21) Kansas (OK is 6-1-1 in their last 8 road games ATS)

Air Force @ (20) Utah -9.5 (Air Force is 2-7 in their last 9 overall ATS)

(8) Iowa -1.5 LOCK @ Michigan State (Iowa is 8-1 ATS vs. a team with a winning record)

Vanderbilt @ (23) South Carolina -13.5

Texas A&M @ (24) Texas Tech -21 (T-TECH is 6-2 ATS in their last 8 conference games)

SMU @ (18) Houston -16

(7) TCU -2.5 LOCK @ (16) BYU  (BYU is 3-7 ATS in their last 10 conference games)

Auburn @ (10) LSU -7.5 (Auburn is 3-9 ATS in their last 12 conference games)

(1) Florida -22.5 @ Mississippi State (FLA is 11-0 ATS in their last 11 road games)

(3) Texas -13 @ Missouri

Oregon State +21 @ (4) USC (OSU is 11-4 ATS in their last 15 games overall)

(5) Boise State -25 @ Hawaii (Boise State is 7-2 ATS in their last 9 games overall)

UPDATE:  Wow, our best week yet.  14-8, to get us back right at .500.  Sad, but true.  Hopefully the second half of the season will be more kind.

(7) Cincinnati -14.5 LOCK @ Syracuse (Cin is 7-1 ATS in their last 8 conference games)

New Mexico State + 44 @ (15) Ohio State

Indiana @ (8) Iowa -17.5 (Iowa is 7-2 ATS in their last 9 games overall)

(22) Mississippi -4 @ Auburn (Miss is 9-2 in their last 11 road games ATS)

Southern Miss @ (16) Houston -6.5 (Home team is 8-2 ATS in their last 10 meetings)

San Jose State @ (5) Boise State -35 LOCK (Boise State is 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games overall)

Georgia @ (1) Florida -15 (Fla is 12-4 ATS in their last 16 conference games)

(18) Miami -7 @ Wake Forest (Miami is 6-2 ATS in their last 8 gams overall)

UNLV @ (6) TCU -35 LOCK (TCU is 42-18 ATS in their last 60 home games)

(10) Penn State -15 @ Northwestern (Penn State is 6-2-1 in thier last 9 road game ATS)

Kansas State +28 @ (23) Oklahoma

(11) Georgia Tech -12 LOCK @ Vanderbilt (GTECH is 9-2 ATS in their last 11 road games)

Washington State @ (25) Notre Dame -28

(21) South Carolina -6 @ Tennessee

Tulane @ (9) LSU -35.5

Wyoming @ (19) Utah -17 (WYO is 7-18-1 in their last 26 games overall ATS)

(4) USC -3 LOCK @ (12) Oregon

(3) Texas -9 @ (13) Oklahoma State (Texas is 7-3 ATS in their last 10 meetings)

UPDATE WEEK 9:  11-7 last week, putting our 2 best weeks in a row together, going 25-15 over the last 2 weeks, back above .500.  I guess its not how you start, but how you finish.  Let’s keep it rolling in week 10.

(24) Virgnia Tech -13 @ East Carolina (EC is 3-9 in their last 12 games on grass ATS)

(5) Boise State -21 LOCK @ Louisiana Tech (BSU is 8-2 ATS in their last 10 road games)

(22) Wisconsin -10.5 @ Indiana

Northwestern @ (6) Iowa -16 (Iowa is 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games overall)

Virginia @ (17) Miami -13.5

Syracuse @ (14) Pittsburgh -21 (Pitt is 9-2 in their last 11 games on grass ATS)

Central Florida @ (2) Texas -34.5

(25) BYU -13 @ Wyoming (WYO is 8-22-1 ATS in their last 31 games on grass)

Navy + 12.5 @ (21) Notre Dame (Road Team is 13-1 ATS in their last 14 meetings)

Wake Forest @ (11) Georgia Tech -14.5 (Home team is 8-3 ATS in their last 11 meetings)

(18) Oklahoma State -7.5 @ Iowa State (OKST is 7-3-1 ATS in their last 11 road games)

Washington State +33 @ (19) Arizona (Underdog is 8-1 ATS in their last 9 meetings)

(8) Oregon -6.5 @ Stanford

(9) LSU @ (3) Alabama -7.5 (ALA is 7-3 ATS in their last 10 conference games)

(12) Ohio State @ (10) Penn State -5 (Home team is 9-2 ATS in their last 11 meetings)

(4) TCU -24 LOCK @ San Diego State (TCU is 17-7 ATS in tei last 24 games on grass)

New Mexico @ (16) Utah-27.5 (NM is 2-8 in their last 10 games overall ATS)

Oregon State +7 @ (23) Cal (OSU is 12-5 ATS in their last 17 games overall)

Vanderbilt @ (1) Florida -35 (FLA 21-7 in their last 28 overall ATS)

(15) Houston -1.5 @ Tulsa

(13) USC -10 @ Arizona State

(20) Oklahoma -4.5 LOCK @ Nebraska (OK is 7-1-1 ATS in their last 9 road games)

UCONN @ (7) Cincinnati -17 LOCK

UPDATE WEEK  10:  OUCH…10-12 last week.  Still over the lat 3 weeks that makes us 35-27.  If we finish out the year with 2 big weeks, that should put us up around 60%…just as good as Vegas, but we bet EVERY game.  Here’s our week 11 picks.

(23) West Virgina @ (5) Cincinnati -9 (Cin is 8-2 ATS in their last 10 conference games)

(7) Georgia Tech -12.5 @ Duke (GT is 20-8-1 ATS in their last 29 road games)

Indiana @ (17) Penn State -24.5 (Penn State is 7-3 ATS vs. a team with a losing record)

(2) Texas -24 @ Baylor (Texas is 7-2 ATS in their last 9 road games)

Michigan @ (20) Wisconsin -9 (Mich is 2-6 ATS in their last 8 road games)

(12) Houston -4.5 @ Central Florida

(21) Virginia Tech -18 @ Maryland (VaTECH is 20-9 ATS in their last 29 road games)

(22) BYU -26.5 @ New Mexico (NM is 1-8 ATS in their last 9 games on grass)

Idaho @ (6) Boise State -31.5 LOCK (BSU is 9-3 ATS in their last 12 games overall)

(1) Florida -17.5 @ South Carolina (Fla is 11-1 ATS in their last 12 road games)

(15) Miami -3 LOCK @ North Carolina (Miami is 7-3 ATS in their last 10 overall)

(13) Iowa @ (8) Ohio State -16.5 (Iowa is 1-7 ATS in their last 8 meetings)

Stanford + 10.5 @ (10) USC (SC is 1-8 ATS in their last 9 conference games)

(25) Auburn +4 @ Georgia (GEO is 2-7 ATS in their last 9 conference games)

(19) Arizona +3 @ Cal (ARI is 8-3 ATS in their last 11 vs. a team with a winning record)

(3) Alabama -12.5 LOCK @ Mississippi State (Ala is 7-1 ATS in their last 8 road games)

Louisiana Tech @ (11) LSU -23 (LT is 1-8 ATS in their last 9 vs. SEC)

(14) Utah @ (4) TCU -19.5 (TCU is 43-18 in their last 61 home games ATS)

Notre Dame @ (9) Pitt -7 LOCK (ND is 1-7 in their last 8 games ATS overall)

Texas Tech @ (18) Oklahoma State -4.5

Arizona State @ (16) Oregon -18


Share and Enjoy:
  • Twitthis
  • Facebook
  • MySpace
  • StumbleUpon
  • Print
  • email
  • Digg
  • LinkedIn
  • Sphinn
  • del.icio.us
  • Mixx
  • Google Bookmarks
  • Reddit

Speak Your Mind

Tell us what you're thinking...
and oh, if you want a pic to show with your comment, go get a gravatar!