NFL Lines…Our Picks

UPDATE:  Hitting 65% on the season…we REALLY like some match-ups this week.  Win some money and use our picks for week 10!

UPDATE: 9-4 last week.  For the year, we are about 67%, which is better than Vegas odds makeres, because we pick EVERY game with/against the spread.  Scroll to the bottom for our week 8 predictions!

14-2 in Week 3 against the spread.  That’s right. and 87.5 winning percentage. The previous week I was 67%.  Scroll to the bottom to see our week 4 picks, and make some money!!!  Use them to go win some money and by your woman that cubic zirconium she’s been wanting.

Miami @ Atlanta -4

Kansas City @ Baltimore -13

Denver @ Cincinnatti – 4 1/2

Philidelphia -3 @ Carolina

Minnesota – 3 1/2 @ Cleveland

Jets @ Houston -4

Detroit @New Orleans -13

Jacksonville @ Indianapolis -7

Dallas – 5 1/2@ Tampa Bay

San Francisco @ Arizona -6

St. Louis @ Seattle -8

Chicago @ Green Bay – 3 1/2

Washington @ New York Giants – 6 1/2

San Diego -9 @ Oakland

Buffalo @ New England -11

UPDATE: 8-7…not exctly an Oracle.  Lets see how we do week 2.

WEEK 2

Carolina at Atlanta -6

Houston +7 @ Tennessee (Houston is 6-2 in their last 8 overall ATS)

St. Louis @ Washington -10 (St. Louis is 2-6 in their last 8 ATS vs. NFC)

New Orleans -1 @ Philidelphia

Oakland + 3 @ Kansas City (KC is 3-10 ATS in their last 13 Home games)

New England -3.5 @ New York Jets (NE is 9-3-1 ATS in their last 13 meetings)

Arizona + 3 @ Jacksonville (Jville is 1-7 in their last 8 home games ATS)

Cincinnati@Green Bay -9.5 (GB is 8-2 ATS in their last 10 home games in Sept)

Minnesota – 10.5 LOCK @ Detroit (Detroit is 1-8 ATS in their last 9 home games)

Tampa Bay @ Buffalo -5

Seattle – 1.5 LOCK@ San Francisco( Seattle is 9-3 ATS in their last 12 vs. NFC West)

Pittsburgh -3 LOCK @ Chicago (Pittsburgh is 7-3 ATS in their last 10 overall)

Cleveland @ Denver -3 (Cleveland is 0-8-1 in their last 9 ATS on grass)

Baltimore + 3 @ San Diego (Baltimore is 9-2 in their last 11 ATS vs. AFC)

New York Giants -3
@ Dallas( NY is 20-7 ATS in their last 27 games overall)

Indianapolis -3 LOCK @ Miami (Road Team is 8-2 ATS in their last 10 meetings)

UPDATE

67% winning percentage in week 2…that’s what we’re talking about.  However, only 2 of 4 on locks.  Some tough matchups this week, we’ll be happy if we have the same success

Indianapolis + 2.5 LOCK @ Arizona

Carolina @ Dallas -9

Miami @ San Diego -6 (SD is 12-5 in their last 17 home games ATS)

Pittsburgh -4@ Cincinatti (Cin 3-10 ATS in their last 13 vs. AFC)

Denver -2 @ Oakland (OAK is 8-21 ATS in their last 29 home games)

Chicago +2 @ Seattle

Atlanta @ New England -4.5

Tennessee @ New York Jets – 1.5

Baltimore -13.5 @ Clevelnd (CLE is 0-9-1 ATS in their last 10 games on grass)

Green Bay -7 LOCK @ St. Louis (STL is 6-15 ATS in their last 21 home games)

New York Giants -7 @ Tampa Bay (NY is 22-6 ATS in their last 28 road games)

Kansas City @ Philidelphia -9

San Francisco @ Minnesota -7

Washington @ Detroit + 6.5 LOCK (Home team is 6-2 ATS in their last 8 head to head)

New Orleans -6 LOCK @ Buffalo (New Orleans is 7-1-1 ATS in their last 9 overall)

Jacksonville @ Houston -3.5 (JAX is 2-15 ATS in their last 17 on grass)

Week 4

14-2 Last Week.  Spread the word, go to notespn.com!!!

Detroit + 10 @ Chicago (underdog is 8-2 ATS in their last 10 meetings)

Cincinnati -6 LOCK @ Cleveland (Cle is 1-10-1 in their last 12 overall ATS)

Seattle @ Indianapolis -10.5 LOCK (Sea is 6-21 in their last 27 ATS in October)

Oakland @ Houston -9.5 (Hou is 7-3 ATS in their last 10 overall)

Tennessee +3 @ Jacksonville (Jax is 1-8 in their last 9 home games ATS)

New York Giants -9.5 LOCK@ Kansas City (NYG is 21-5 ATS in their last 26 road games)

Tampa Bay + 7.5@ Washington (Was is 1-7-3 in their last 11 games ATS overall)

Baltimore +2 @ New England (Bal is 18-5 ATS in their last 23 overall)

New York Jets +7 @ New Orleans

St. Louis @ San Francisco -10 (Stl. is 2-7 ATS in their last 9 games overall)

Buffalo -2 LOCK@ Miami (Buf is 7-2-1 ATS in heir last 10 meetings)

Dallas -3 @ Denver (Den is 7-19-1 in their last 27 home games ATS)

San Diego @ Pittsburgh -6.5 (Favorite is 6-2 ATS in their last 8 meetings)

Green Bay @ Minnesota -3.5

UPDATE

Week 4 saw our heads get a little too big, and after two impressive weeks we dropped down to .500, going 7-7.  We’re still ahead of the game though.  Hopefully we’ll bounce back in week 5.

Cincinnati @ Baltimore -8.5 (Bal is 18-6 in their last 24 overall ATS)

Cleveland @ Buffalo -6 (Cle is 1-8-1 in their last 10 overall ATS)

Pittsburgh -10.5 @ Detroit (Det is 2-9 ATS in their last 11 home games)

Washington +3.5@ Carolina

Oakland @ N.Y. Giants -16 (NYG are 5-2-1 in their last 8 home games ATS)

Dallas -9 @ Kansas City

Minnesota -11 LOCK @ St. Louis

Tampa Bay @ Philidelphia -16 (Phili is 8-3 ATS in their last 11 games overall)

Houston @ Arizona -5.5 (Ari is 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games on grass)

Atlanta + 2.5 LOCK @ San Francisco

New England -3.5 LOCK @ Denver ( Denver is 6-13 ATS vs. a team with a winning record)

Jacksonville @ Seattle

Indianapolis -4 @ Tennessee

New York Jets -2 LOCK @ Miami (NYJ are 20-5-2 in their last 27 meetings ATS)

UPDATE: WEEK 7-  We took a week off after a lackluster albeit winning week.  Back to the grind.  We are still hitting 65%!  Spread the Word!

San Francisco @ Houston -3

San Diego _4.5 @ Kansas City (Kansas City is 4-12 in their last 16 home games ATS)

New England -14.5 LOCK @ Tampa Bay (Tamp Bay is 1-7 in thier last 8 games ATS overall)

Indianapolis -14 LOCK @ St. Louis (STL is 5-15 in their last 20 games ATS vs. a team with a winning record)

Green Bay -9 @ Cleveland (Cleveland is 3-8-1 in their last 12 overall ATS)

Minnesota -5.5 @ Pittsburgh

Buffalo @ Carolina -7

New York Jets -6 @ Oakland (OAK is 15-35-1 ATS in their last 51 home games)

Atlanta -4 @ Dallas

New Orleans -7 LOCK @ Miami (New Orleans is 15-5-1 in their last 21 games overall ATS)

Chicago @ Cincinnati PICK ‘EM

Arizona @ New York Giants -7 (NYG is 17-5 ATS vs. a team with a winning record)

Philidelphia -7 LOCK @ Washington (Philidelphia is 2-9-3 in their last 14 games overall ATS)

UPDATE:  9-4 last week, back in the saddle!  We benefitted from great teams playing bad teams, and even though they were laying a lot of points, they covered.  Lets see how week 8 does.  We are hitting about 66-67%, better than most odds makers!  Spread the word and tell them all to go to www.notespn.com!!

Denver @ Baltimore -3 LOCK (Bal is 9-3 ATS in their last 12 home games)

Houston -3 LOCK @ Buffalo (Hou is 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games vs. AFC)

Cleveland @ Chicago -14(Cle is 3-9-1 ATS in their last 13 games overall)

Seattle @ Dallas -10 (Dal is 7-2 ATS in their last 9 games vs. NFC)

San Francisco @ Indianapolis -13 LOCK

St. Louis @ Detroit (Off the Board)

New York Giants PICK @ Philadelphia

Miami @ New York Jets -3.5 LOCK (Miami is 6-20-2 ATS in their last 28 meetings)

Jacksonville +3 @ Tennessee

Oakland +17 @ San Diego

Carolina @ Arizona -10 (Ari is 9-2 ATS in their last 11 games overall)

Minnesota +3 @ Green Bay (Underdog is 16-5 ATS in their last 21 meetings)

Atlanta @ New Orleans -10 (NO is 7-1 ATS in their last 8 home games)

UPDATE WEEK 9: 6-6 last week, which when that’s one of yur worst weeks, you must be doing a pretty good job.  But we need to bounce back, and finish above 65% this year, which is better than vegas.  And we pick EVERY game.  Let’s go to week 9.

Washington @ Atlanta -10 LOCK (WASH s 3-12-3 ATS in thier last 18 games overall)

Arizona +3 @ Chicago (ARI is 9-3 ATS in their last 12 games overall)

Baltimore -3 LOCK @ Cincinnati (BAL is 12-4 ATS in their last 16 games vs. AFC)

Houston +9 @ Indianapolis (HOU is 6-2 ATS in their last 8 road games)

Kansas City @ Jacksonville -6.5 (KC is 2-7 ATS is their last 9 games overall)

Green Bay -10 @ Tampa Bay (TB is 1-12 ATS in their last 13 games on grass)

Miami @ New England -10.5 LOCK

Carolina @ New Orleans -14 (NO is 7-2 ATS in their last 9 home games)

Detroit @ Seattle -10 (SEA is 9-4 ATS vs. a team with a losing record)

San Diego @ New York Giants -4.5 (SD is 2-6 in their last 8 games overall ATS)

Tennessee @ San Francisco -4 (SF is 5-1-2 in their lat 8 games ATS overall)

Dallas @ Philadelphia -3 (PHI is 9-3 in their last 12 games on grass)

Pittsburgh -3 LOCK @ Denver (DEN is 7-17-1 in their last 25 home games ATS)

UPDATE: Week 9…OUCH! 5-8, the only saving grace is hw well we have done all year. 65% and counting.  Lets go to week 10.

Atlanta -1 LOCK @ Carolina (Atlanta is 15-7-4 ATS in their last 26 meetings)

Tampa Bay @ Miami -10 (TB is 2-8 ATS in their last 10 games overall)

Jacksonville @ New York Jets -7 (Jax is 3-8 in thier last 11 games vs. AFC ATS)

Detroit @ Minnesota -16.5 (Detroit is 2-6-1 ATS in their last 9 meetings)

Cincinnati @ Pittsburgh -7 (Pitt is 7-2 ATS in their last 9 home games)

St. Louis @ New Orleans -13.5 LOCK (NO is 11-3-1 in their last 15 games ATS overall)

Buffalo @ Tennessee-7.5 (Tenn is 8-3 in their last 11 games ATS vs. a team with a losing record)

Denver -4 LOCK @ Washington (Denver is 6-2 ATS this year)

Kansas City @ Oakland -2 (KC is 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games overall)

Seattle @ Arizona -9 (Ari is 7-2 ATS in their last 9 games vs. NFC)

Dallas -3 @ Green Bay (Favorite is 7-1  ATS in their last 8 meetings)

Philadelphia -1 @ San Diego (Phi is 14-6 in their last 20 road games ATS)

New England @ Indianapolis -3 LOCK

Baltimore -11 @ Cleveland (Bal is 8-0 ATS vs. a team with a losing record)

UPDATE:  Week 11…”Boomer, I’m Melting”.  This is not good.  We are now down  in the low 60% range, which is still as good as Vegas, and we pick every game.  Why?  Because we have the balls.  Hopefully we will rebound in week 11.

Indianapolis-2 @ Baltimore

Washington @ Dallas -11 (Was is 1-5-2 in teir last 8 games vs. NFC ATS)

Cleveland @ Detroit -3.5 (Cle is 3-11-1 ATS in their last 15 games overall)

San Francisco @ Green Bay -6

Buffalo @ Jacksonville -8.5 (Buf is 3-10 ATS vs. a team with a winning record)

Pittsburgh -11 @ Kansas City

Seattle @ Minnesota -10.5

Atlanta @ New York Giants -7

New Orleans -10.5 @ Tampa Bay (New Orleans is 11-4-1 ATS in their last 16 games overall)

Arizona -9 @ St. Louis (Ari is 8-2 in their last 10 games vs NFC)

San Diego -6 @ Denver

New York Jets @ New England -11 (NY is 4-9-1 ATS in their last 14 meetings)

Cincinnati -9 @ Oakland

Philadelphia -3 @ Chicago (Phi is 12-5 in their last 17 games ATS vs. NFC)

Tennessee @ Houston-4

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Comments

3 Responses to “NFL Lines…Our Picks”
  1. Karl Hungus says:

    I like your pics for week #4, don’t agree with your selection for the Broncos Cowboys game but who am I? I will tell you who I am not, I am not Fox Sports, I am not HBO sports, and I am not Mr. Lebowski…. Keep up the hard work!! I like the site

  2. martin sabastian gomez says:

    fantasy football.

    i’m tired.

    i’m in a fantasy football league this year. it’s kinda crazy how it has consumed my life. my girlfriend knows not to plan anything on sundays and monday nights. i’ve always watched football, but now i’m taking notes, pausing the recorded game and looking up players and their stats, noting their age, listing prior injuries seeing if they have a twitter account. this obsession begins on tuesday morning. 6 am. that is when adding and dropping for free agents opens. all the information from the nine hours on sunday and the monday night game plus the espn, sports talk shows, blogs and sometimes notespn that i gathered the previous week is put into the first 5 minutes, 6:00- 6:05. It is disgusting that i know the whole nfl schedule for the next two weeks. who is playing in a dome. who averages more yards per carry on turf than grass. what the weather forecast is in new england on sunday. if Denver had a bye last week and how their practice seeions went through practice reports. hi my name is martin sabastian gomez and i’m in a fantasy football league.

    two major events changed the national football league. high definition formatted television and fantasy football. i fucken changed my satellite provider so i could record four nfl games at once instead of a pathetic two games. i’m noticing tends in football teams like an sports analyst. rivers always has a slow first quarter unless he’s at home. i get annoyed if i have to watch a game in sd, standard definition. shitty definition.

    growing up in The Valley, i never really had a football team growing up. the rams were here for awhile but were the equivalent to the clippers. and the raiders. raider nation. it is gang attire. like how the gays have taken the rainbow as their symbol, gangs have taken the raiders as their logo. what if you thought the full color spectrum was cool and your dad was gene Upshaw and you got a tattoo of both on your back? fucken screwed. i followed players i liked or were from the valley like john elway and Fredrick taylor. but now with fantasy fucken football i’m following everyone. and their backup.

    i’m not sure why i’m typing this. i’m super tired. i am tied in my league for the best record. i really wish i didn’t trade Sydney rice for coles. i really wish i never heard of fantasy football. unless i win the 1100 us dollars at the end of the season.

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