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	<title>NOT ESPN &#187; betting lines</title>
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		<title>NFL Lines&#8230;Our Picks</title>
		<link>http://www.notespn.com/nfl-lines-our-picks/</link>
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		<pubDate>Mon, 02 Nov 2009 03:20:26 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Not ESPN</dc:creator>
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		<category><![CDATA[betting lines]]></category>
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		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.notespn.com/?p=123</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[UPDATE:  Hitting 65% on the season&#8230;we REALLY like some match-ups this week.  Win some money and use our picks for week 10! UPDATE: 9-4 last week.  For the year, we are about 67%, which is better than Vegas odds makeres, because we pick EVERY game with/against the spread.  Scroll to the bottom for our week [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><img class="alignnone" src="http://images.dailyradar.com/media/uploads/ballhype/photos_large/2008/08/11/nfl.jpg" alt="" width="500" height="378" /></p>
<p><strong>UPDATE:  Hitting 65% on the season&#8230;we REALLY like some match-ups this week.  Win some money and use our picks for week 10!</strong></p>
<p><strong><em>UPDATE: 9-4 last week.  For the year, we are about 67%, which is better than Vegas odds makeres, because we pick EVERY game with/against the spread.  Scroll to the bottom for our week 8 predictions!</em></strong></p>
<p><strong>14-2 in Week 3 against the spread.  That&#8217;s right. and 87.5 winning percentage.</strong> The previous week I was 67%.  Scroll to the bottom to see our week 4 picks, and make some money!!!  Use them to go win some money and by your woman that cubic zirconium she&#8217;s been wanting.</p>
<p>Miami @ <strong>Atlanta -4</strong></p>
<p>Kansas City @ <strong>Baltimore -13</strong></p>
<p>Denver @ <strong>Cincinnatti &#8211; 4 1/2</strong></p>
<p><strong>Philidelphia -3 </strong>@ Carolina</p>
<p><strong>Minnesota &#8211; 3 1/2 </strong>@ Cleveland</p>
<p>Jets @ <strong>Houston -4</strong></p>
<p>Detroit @<strong>New Orleans -13</strong></p>
<p>Jacksonville @<strong> Indianapolis -7</strong></p>
<p><strong>Dallas &#8211; 5 1/2</strong>@ Tampa Bay</p>
<p>San Francisco @<strong> Arizona -6</strong></p>
<p>St. Louis @<strong> Seattle -8</strong></p>
<p>Chicago @ <strong>Green Bay &#8211; 3 1/2</strong></p>
<p>Washington @ <strong>New York Giants &#8211; 6 1/2</strong></p>
<p><strong>San Diego -9</strong> @ Oakland</p>
<p>Buffalo @ <strong>New England -11</strong></p>
<p><strong>UPDATE: 8-7&#8230;not exctly an Oracle.  Lets see how we do week 2.</strong></p>
<p><strong>WEEK 2</strong></p>
<p>Carolina at <strong>Atlanta -6</strong></p>
<p><strong>Houston +7</strong> @ Tennessee (Houston is 6-2 in their last 8 overall ATS)</p>
<p>St. Louis @ <strong>Washington -10</strong> (St. Louis is 2-6 in their last 8 ATS vs. NFC)</p>
<p><strong>New Orleans -1</strong> @ Philidelphia</p>
<p><strong>Oakland + 3 </strong>@ Kansas City (KC is 3-10 ATS in their last 13 Home games)</p>
<p><strong>New England -3.5 </strong>@ New York Jets (NE is 9-3-1 ATS in their last 13 meetings)</p>
<p><strong>Arizona + 3</strong> @ Jacksonville (Jville is 1-7 in their last 8 home games ATS)</p>
<p>Cincinnati@<strong>Green Bay -9.5</strong> (GB is 8-2 ATS in their last 10 home games in Sept)</p>
<p><strong>Minnesota &#8211; 10.5 LOCK </strong><strong>@ Detroit (Detroit is 1-8 ATS in their last 9 home games)</strong></p>
<p><strong>Tampa Bay @ <strong>Buffalo -5</strong></strong></p>
<p><strong><strong>Seattle &#8211; 1.5 </strong><strong>LOCK</strong>@ San Francisco( Seattle is 9-3 ATS in their last 12 vs. NFC West)</strong></p>
<p><strong><strong>Pittsburgh -3 LOCK</strong> @ Chicago (Pittsburgh is 7-3 ATS in their last 10 overall)</strong></p>
<p><strong>Cleveland @ <strong>Denver -3 </strong>(Cleveland is 0-8-1 in their last 9 ATS on grass)</strong></p>
<p><strong><strong>Baltimore + 3</strong> @ San Diego (Baltimore is 9-2 in their last 11 ATS vs. AFC)<br />
<strong><br />
New York Giants -3 </strong>@ Dallas( NY is 20-7 ATS in their last 27 games overall)</strong></p>
<p><strong><strong>Indianapolis -3 LOCK</strong> @ Miami (Road Team is 8-2 ATS in their last 10 meetings)</strong></p>
<p><strong>UPDATE</strong></p>
<p><strong>67% winning percentage in week 2&#8230;that&#8217;s what we&#8217;re talking about.  However, only 2 of 4 on locks.  Some tough matchups this week, we&#8217;ll be happy if we have the same success</strong></p>
<p><strong>Indianapolis + 2.5 LOCK</strong> @ Arizona</p>
<p>Carolina @ <strong>Dallas -9</strong></p>
<p>Miami @<strong> San Diego -6</strong> (SD is 12-5 in their last 17 home games ATS)</p>
<p><strong>Pittsburgh -4</strong>@ Cincinatti (Cin 3-10 ATS in their last 13 vs. AFC)</p>
<p><strong>Denver -2</strong> @ Oakland (OAK is 8-21 ATS in their last 29 home games)</p>
<p><strong>Chicago +2</strong> @ Seattle</p>
<p>Atlanta @ <strong>New England -4.5</strong></p>
<p>Tennessee @ <strong>New York Jets &#8211; 1.5</strong></p>
<p><strong>Baltimore -13.5 </strong>@ Clevelnd (CLE is 0-9-1 ATS in their last 10 games on <strong>grass)</strong></p>
<p><strong>Green Bay -7 LOCK</strong> @ St. Louis (STL is 6-15 ATS in their last 21 home games)</p>
<p><strong>New York Giants -7</strong> @ Tampa Bay (NY is 22-6 ATS in their last 28 road games)</p>
<p>Kansas City @ <strong>Philidelphia -9</strong></p>
<p>San Francisco @ <strong>Minnesota -7</strong></p>
<p>Washington @ <strong>Detroit + 6.5 LOCK</strong> (Home team is 6-2 ATS in their last 8 head to head)</p>
<p><strong>New Orleans -6</strong> <strong>LOCK </strong>@ Buffalo (New Orleans is 7-1-1 ATS in their last 9 overall)</p>
<p>Jacksonville @ <strong>Houston -3.5 </strong>(JAX is 2-15 ATS in their last 17 on grass)</p>
<p>Week 4</p>
<p>14-2 Last Week.  Spread the word, go to notespn.com!!!</p>
<p><strong>Detroit + 10</strong> @ Chicago (underdog is 8-2 ATS in their last 10 meetings)</p>
<p><strong>Cincinnati -6 LOCK</strong> @ Cleveland (Cle is 1-10-1 in their last 12 overall ATS)</p>
<p>Seattle @ <strong>Indianapolis -10.5</strong> <strong>LOCK </strong>(Sea is 6-21 in their last 27 ATS in October)</p>
<p>Oakland @ <strong>Houston -9.5</strong> (Hou is 7-3 ATS in their last 10 overall)</p>
<p><strong>Tennessee +3</strong> @ Jacksonville (Jax is 1-8 in their last 9 home games ATS)</p>
<p><strong>New York Giants -9.5 LOCK</strong>@ Kansas City (NYG is 21-5 ATS in their last 26 road games)</p>
<p><strong>Tampa Bay + 7.5</strong>@ Washington (Was is 1-7-3 in their last 11 games ATS overall)</p>
<p><strong>Baltimore +2</strong> @ New England (Bal is 18-5 ATS in their last 23 overall)</p>
<p><strong>New York Jets +7</strong> @ New Orleans</p>
<p>St. Louis @ <strong>San Francisco -10</strong> (Stl. is 2-7 ATS in their last 9 games overall)</p>
<p><strong>Buffalo -2 LOCK</strong>@ Miami (Buf is 7-2-1 ATS in heir last 10 meetings)</p>
<p><strong>Dallas -3 </strong>@ Denver (Den is 7-19-1 in their last 27 home games ATS)</p>
<p>San Diego @<strong> Pittsburgh -6.5</strong> (Favorite is 6-2 ATS in their last 8 meetings)</p>
<p>Green Bay @ <strong>Minnesota -3.5</strong></p>
<p><strong>UPDATE</strong></p>
<p><strong>Week 4 saw our heads get a little too big, and after two impressive weeks we dropped down to .500, going 7-7.  We&#8217;re still ahead of the game though.  Hopefully we&#8217;ll bounce back in week 5.</strong></p>
<p>Cincinnati @ <strong>Baltimore -8.5 </strong>(Bal is 18-6 in their last 24 overall ATS)</p>
<p>Cleveland @ <strong>Buffalo -6 </strong>(Cle is 1-8-1 in their last 10 overall ATS)</p>
<p><strong>Pittsburgh -10.5 </strong>@ Detroit (Det is 2-9 ATS in their last 11 home games)</p>
<p><strong>Washington +3.5</strong>@ Carolina</p>
<p>Oakland @<strong> N.Y. Giants -16</strong> (NYG are 5-2-1 in their last 8 home games ATS)</p>
<p><strong>Dallas -9</strong> @ Kansas City</p>
<p><strong>Minnesota -11 LOCK</strong> @ St. Louis</p>
<p>Tampa Bay @ <strong>Philidelphia -16 </strong>(Phili is 8-3 ATS in their last 11 games overall)</p>
<p>Houston @ <strong>Arizona -5.5 </strong>(Ari is 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games on grass)</p>
<p><strong>Atlanta + 2.5 LOCK </strong>@ San Francisco</p>
<p><strong>New England -3.5 LOCK</strong> @ Denver ( Denver is 6-13 ATS vs. a team with a winning record)</p>
<p><strong>Jacksonville</strong> @ Seattle</p>
<p><strong>Indianapolis -4</strong> @ Tennessee</p>
<p><strong>New York Jets -2 LOCK </strong>@ Miami (NYJ are 20-5-2 in their last 27 meetings ATS)</p>
<p><strong>UPDATE: WEEK 7-  We took a week off after a lackluster albeit winning week.  Back to the grind.  We are still hitting 65%!  Spread the Word</strong>!</p>
<p>San Francisco <strong>@ Houston -3</strong></p>
<p><strong>San Diego _4.5</strong> @ Kansas City (Kansas City is 4-12 in their last 16 home games ATS)</p>
<p><strong>New England -14.5 LOCK</strong> @ Tampa Bay (Tamp Bay is 1-7 in thier last 8 games ATS overall)</p>
<p><strong>Indianapolis -14 LOCK</strong> @ St. Louis (STL is 5-15 in their last 20 games ATS vs. a team with a winning record)</p>
<p><strong>Green Bay -9</strong> @ Cleveland (Cleveland is 3-8-1 in their last 12 overall ATS)</p>
<p><strong>Minnesota -5.5</strong> @ Pittsburgh</p>
<p>Buffalo @<strong> Carolina -7</strong></p>
<p><strong>New York Jets -6</strong> @ Oakland (OAK is 15-35-1 ATS in their last 51 home games)</p>
<p><strong>Atlanta -4</strong> @ Dallas</p>
<p><strong>New Orleans -7 LOCK</strong> @ Miami (New Orleans is 15-5-1 in their last 21 games overall ATS)</p>
<p>Chicago @ <strong>Cincinnati PICK &#8216;EM</strong></p>
<p>Arizona @<strong> New York Giants -7</strong> (NYG is 17-5 ATS vs. a team with a winning record)</p>
<p><strong>Philidelphia -7 LOCK</strong> @ Washington (Philidelphia is 2-9-3 in their last 14 games overall ATS)</p>
<p><strong>UPDATE:  9-4 last week, back in the saddle!  We benefitted from great teams playing bad teams, and even though they were laying a lot of points, they covered.  Lets see how week 8 does.  We are hitting about 66-67%, better than most odds makers!  Spread the word and tell them all to go to www.notespn.com!!</strong></p>
<p>Denver @ <strong>Baltimore -3 LOCK </strong> (Bal is 9-3 ATS in their last 12 home games)</p>
<p><strong>Houston -3 LOCK</strong> @ Buffalo (Hou is 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games vs. AFC)</p>
<p>Cleveland @ <strong>Chicago -14</strong>(Cle is 3-9-1 ATS in their last 13 games overall)</p>
<p>Seattle @<strong> Dallas -10</strong> (Dal is 7-2 ATS in their last 9 games vs. NFC)</p>
<p>San Francisco @<strong> Indianapolis -13 LOCK</strong></p>
<p>St. Louis @ Detroit (Off the Board)</p>
<p><strong>New York Giants PICK</strong> @ Philadelphia</p>
<p>Miami @ <strong>New York Jets -3.5 LOCK</strong> (Miami is 6-20-2 ATS in their last 28 meetings)</p>
<p><strong>Jacksonville +3</strong> @ Tennessee</p>
<p><strong>Oakland +17</strong> @ San Diego</p>
<p>Carolina @ <strong>Arizona -10 </strong>(Ari is 9-2 ATS in their last 11 games overall)</p>
<p><strong>Minnesota +3</strong> @ Green Bay (Underdog is 16-5 ATS in their last 21 meetings)</p>
<p>Atlanta @ <strong>New Orleans -10 </strong>(NO is 7-1 ATS in their last 8 home games)</p>
<p><em><strong>UPDATE WEEK 9: 6-6 last week, which when that&#8217;s one of yur worst weeks, you must be doing a pretty good job.  But we need to bounce back, and finish above 65% this year, which is better than vegas.  And we pick EVERY game.  Let&#8217;s go to week 9.</strong></em></p>
<p>Washington @ <strong>Atlanta -10 LOCK</strong> (WASH s 3-12-3 ATS in thier last 18 games overall)</p>
<p><strong>Arizona +3 </strong>@ Chicago (ARI is 9-3 ATS in their last 12 games overall)</p>
<p><strong>Baltimore -3</strong> <strong>LOCK</strong> @ Cincinnati (BAL is 12-4 ATS in their last 16 games vs. AFC)</p>
<p><strong>Houston +9 </strong>@ Indianapolis (HOU is 6-2 ATS in their last 8 road games)</p>
<p>Kansas City @ <strong>Jacksonville -6.5 </strong>(KC is 2-7 ATS is their last 9 games overall)</p>
<p><strong>Green Bay -10</strong> @ Tampa Bay (TB is 1-12 ATS in their last 13 games on grass)</p>
<p>Miami @ <strong>New England -10.5 LOCK</strong></p>
<p>Carolina @<strong> New Orleans -14</strong> (NO is 7-2 ATS in their last 9 home games)</p>
<p>Detroit @<strong> Seattle -10</strong> (SEA is 9-4 ATS vs. a team with a losing record)</p>
<p>San Diego @ <strong>New York Giants -4.5 </strong>(SD is 2-6 in their last 8 games overall ATS)</p>
<p>Tennessee @ <strong>San Francisco -4</strong> (SF is 5-1-2 in their lat 8 games ATS overall)</p>
<p>Dallas @ <strong>Philadelphia -3 </strong>(PHI is 9-3 in their last 12 games on grass)</p>
<p><strong>Pittsburgh -3 LOCK </strong>@ Denver (DEN is 7-17-1 in their last 25 home games ATS)</p>
<p>UPDATE: Week 9&#8230;OUCH! 5-8, the only saving grace is hw well we have done all year. 65% and counting.  Lets go to week 10.</p>
<p><strong>Atlanta -1 LOCK </strong>@ Carolina (Atlanta is 15-7-4 ATS in their last 26 meetings)</p>
<p>Tampa Bay @ <strong>Miami -10 </strong>(TB is 2-8 ATS in their last 10 games overall)</p>
<p>Jacksonville @ <strong>New York Jets -7 </strong>(Jax is 3-8 in thier last 11 games vs. AFC ATS)</p>
<p>Detroit @<strong> Minnesota -16.5</strong> (Detroit is 2-6-1 ATS in their last 9 meetings)</p>
<p>Cincinnati @ <strong>Pittsburgh -7 </strong>(Pitt is 7-2 ATS in their last 9 home games)</p>
<p>St. Louis @ <strong>New Orleans -13.5 LOCK</strong> (NO is 11-3-1 in their last 15 games ATS overall)</p>
<p>Buffalo @ <strong>Tennessee-7.5 </strong>(Tenn is 8-3 in their last 11 games ATS vs. a team with a losing record)</p>
<p><strong>Denver -4 LOCK </strong>@ Washington (Denver is 6-2 ATS this year)</p>
<p>Kansas City @ <strong>Oakland -2</strong> (KC is 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games overall)</p>
<p>Seattle @ <strong>Arizona -9</strong> (Ari is 7-2 ATS in their last 9 games vs. NFC)</p>
<p><strong>Dallas -3</strong> @ Green Bay (Favorite is 7-1  ATS in their last 8 meetings)</p>
<p><strong>Philadelphia -1</strong> @ San Diego (Phi is 14-6 in their last 20 road games ATS)</p>
<p>New England @ <strong>Indianapolis -3 LOCK<br />
</strong></p>
<p><strong>Baltimore -11</strong> @ Cleveland (Bal is 8-0 ATS vs. a team with a losing record)</p>
<p><em><strong>UPDATE:  Week 11&#8230;&#8221;Boomer, I&#8217;m Melting&#8221;.  This is not good.  We are now down  in the low 60% range, which is still as good as Vegas, and we pick every game.  Why?  Because we have the balls.  Hopefully we will rebound in week 11.</strong></em></p>
<p><strong>Indianapolis-2</strong> @ Baltimore</p>
<p>Washington @ <strong>Dallas -11</strong> (Was is 1-5-2 in teir last 8 games vs. NFC ATS)</p>
<p>Cleveland @ <strong>Detroit -3.5</strong> (Cle is 3-11-1 ATS in their last 15 games overall)</p>
<p>San Francisco @ <strong>Green Bay -6 </strong></p>
<p>Buffalo @ <strong>Jacksonville -8.5 </strong>(Buf is 3-10 ATS vs. a team with a winning record)</p>
<p><strong>Pittsburgh -11</strong> @ Kansas City</p>
<p>Seattle @<strong> Minnesota -10.5</strong></p>
<p>Atlanta @ <strong>New York Giants -7</strong></p>
<p><strong>New Orleans -10.5</strong> @ Tampa Bay (New Orleans is 11-4-1 ATS in their last 16 games overall)</p>
<p><strong>Arizona -9 </strong>@ St. Louis (Ari is 8-2 in their last 10 games vs NFC)</p>
<p><strong>San Diego -6</strong> @ Denver</p>
<p>New York Jets @ <strong>New England -11 </strong>(NY is 4-9-1 ATS in their last 14 meetings)</p>
<p><strong>Cincinnati -9</strong> @ Oakland</p>
<p><strong>Philadelphia -3</strong> @ Chicago (Phi is 12-5 in their last 17 games ATS vs. NFC)</p>
<p>Tennessee @ <strong>Houston-4</strong></p>
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